The Political Thread

[Chris]

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-28/polymarket-iran-bets-hit-529-million-as-new-wallets-draw-notice

As US and Israeli bombs fell on Iran this weekend, bettors on Polymarket — where $529 million was traded on contracts tied to the timing of the strikes — were cashing in. Almost immediately, blockchain sleuths began hunting for unusual patterns in recent bets.

Six accounts on Polymarket made around $1 million in profit by betting on the US to strike Iran by Feb. 28, according to analytics firm Bubblemaps SA. The accounts were all freshly created in February and had only ever placed bets on when US strikes might occur. Some of their shares were purchased, in some cases at roughly a dime apiece, hours before the first explosions were reported in Tehran.

 

[Barry Poppins]

Oh goodie, war profiteers. God we really are in such a bleak timeline.

 

[camdudetenger9]

i heard on saturday that usa was on high alert

 

[Looji Nagata]

 

[Tommy Shelby]

We can feel WWIII coming.

I’ll do my bit if called upon.

 

[Barry Poppins]

It's the year 2026 and Donald Trump wants to bring back the Crusades. If only someone could have predicted this...

 

[Barry Poppins]

The US Consulate in Dubai was struck with a drone attack by Iran. Deaths are not yet known at this time.

 

[Chris]

We're doing nothing to protect our allies on the area. American citizens were told to evacuate Bahrain which is laughably impossible at the moment but what about the fucking Bahrain people? It's a tiny island left vulnerable bc we've told them for decades we would protect them. But we only care if Israel is attacked

 

[Barry Poppins]

We're doing nothing to protect our allies on the area. American citizens were told to evacuate Bahrain which is laughably impossible at the moment but what about the fucking Bahrain people? It's a tiny island left vulnerable bc we've told them for decades we would protect them. But we only care if Israel is attacked

I fucking hate this timeline so much

 

[Barry Poppins]

A US Submarine sank an Iranian ship with torpedoes. The first time since 1945 that the US has sunk a foreign ship with torpedo.

 

[Barry Poppins]

"We love our veterans."

 

[Blazehausen]

 

[Chris]

https://www.axios.com/2026/03/05/kristi-noem-trump-ice-dhs

Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem is leaving the department and being replaced by Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-Okla.), President Trump said Thursday.
Why it matters: Noem's exit leaves Trump's mass deportation agenda without its most prominent face amid a public backlash.

Catch up quick: Noem drew bipartisan fury after accusing Minneapolis nurse Alex Pretti and mother Renee Nicole Good of being domestic terrorists after both were shot and killed by federal agents in January.

• She also criticized Pretti for carrying a gun with ammunition to protest ICE enforcement, suggesting he was "wishing to inflict harm on officers."
• Some Trump administration advisers have discussed "recalibrating" the White House's immigration enforcement approach as polling shows declining support for Trump's immigration policies.
• Half of Americans supported abolishing ICE in an early March YouGov poll, a sign of how much support has eroded for one of Trump's signature political strengths on Noem's watch.

Zoom in: As of March 5, roughly 190 co-sponsors had expressed support for impeaching Noem after the Pretti shooting.

• Sen. John Fetterman (D-Pa.) posted on X asking Trump to "immediately fire" Noem, saying she is "betraying DHS's core mission."
• Republican Sens. Thom Tillis (N.C.) and Lisa Murkowski (Alaska) — both of whom voted to confirm Noem — demanded her resignation in January.
• At a March 3 Senate Judiciary oversight hearing, Tillis called Noem's tenure "a disaster" and threatened to block all of Trump's nominations until she answered his questions.

The big picture: Noem oversaw a series of militarized immigration surges in major U.S. cities, operations that put the most aggressive enforcement tactics on vivid, often violent display.

• The controversies didn't stop at immigration enforcement. She bottlenecked FEMA's Hurricane Helene disaster relief by requiring her personal approval on expenses over $100,000, cycled through three acting FEMA administrators, and presided over mass cuts to that agency's workforce.
• She also spent nearly $300 million in border security funds on a luxury jet fleet and $220 million more on ads featuring her.

 

[camdudetenger9]

https://www.axios.com/2026/03/05/kristi-noem-trump-ice-dhs

Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem is leaving the department and being replaced by Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-Okla.), President Trump said Thursday.
Why it matters: Noem's exit leaves Trump's mass deportation agenda without its most prominent face amid a public backlash.

Catch up quick: Noem drew bipartisan fury after accusing Minneapolis nurse Alex Pretti and mother Renee Nicole Good of being domestic terrorists after both were shot and killed by federal agents in January.

• She also criticized Pretti for carrying a gun with ammunition to protest ICE enforcement, suggesting he was "wishing to inflict harm on officers."
• Some Trump administration advisers have discussed "recalibrating" the White House's immigration enforcement approach as polling shows declining support for Trump's immigration policies.
• Half of Americans supported abolishing ICE in an early March YouGov poll, a sign of how much support has eroded for one of Trump's signature political strengths on Noem's watch.

Zoom in: As of March 5, roughly 190 co-sponsors had expressed support for impeaching Noem after the Pretti shooting.

• Sen. John Fetterman (D-Pa.) posted on X asking Trump to "immediately fire" Noem, saying she is "betraying DHS's core mission."
• Republican Sens. Thom Tillis (N.C.) and Lisa Murkowski (Alaska) — both of whom voted to confirm Noem — demanded her resignation in January.
• At a March 3 Senate Judiciary oversight hearing, Tillis called Noem's tenure "a disaster" and threatened to block all of Trump's nominations until she answered his questions.

The big picture: Noem oversaw a series of militarized immigration surges in major U.S. cities, operations that put the most aggressive enforcement tactics on vivid, often violent display.

• The controversies didn't stop at immigration enforcement. She bottlenecked FEMA's Hurricane Helene disaster relief by requiring her personal approval on expenses over $100,000, cycled through three acting FEMA administrators, and presided over mass cuts to that agency's workforce.
• She also spent nearly $300 million in border security funds on a luxury jet fleet and $220 million more on ads featuring her.

she got the boot from wwe hall of famer donnie j trump

 

[Poyser]

It's always been a problem, the levels of extremes just fluctuate and this current trend I believe was started by the US and has spread to every major country almost by now

The amount of Trumpism that's been adopted by UK politics now is insane lol, egged on by that dickhead Elon of course, who knows literally nothing about the UK or UK politics but is clearly making some money from grifting about it.